South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2013a8ddd3aa92c53fba4d9147505d2c2c0ca618784f4180bf94c9c4dab4d2ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 46c | 312,736$145,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,309.69 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 53c | 211,000$112,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,170 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Under | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 69c | 12,969$8,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.83 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 10,733$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 9,276$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.09 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 54c | 8,799$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 7,905$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.56 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 53c | 7,200$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 6,642$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 16c | 4,470$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.21 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 4,291$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 55c | 2,855$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.55 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,640$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 2,507$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.52 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,237$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 54c | 1,903$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.63 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 55c | 1,478$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.18 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 53c | 1,476$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 62c | 1,467$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 938.92$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.89 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 53c | 933.26$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 849.18$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 54c | 822.89$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 55c | 718.18$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 55c | 668.11$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 449.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 375.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 54c | 372.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 47c | 285.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 59c | 266.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 41c | 265$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 243$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Under | 62c | 230.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 54c | 201.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 55c | 186.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 183.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Under | 60c | 133.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 54c | 119.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 112.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Under | 54c | 110.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 31c | 97.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked Under | 54c | 71.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…6610backed Under | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 54c | 64.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 59.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 40c | 58.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6767backed Over | 44c | 57.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…2e36backed Under | 54c | 54.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 54c | 50.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 60c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…7aa9backed Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 60c | 41.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 55c | 39.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 54c | 36.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under | 54c | 36.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 55c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 53c | 32.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 77c | 31.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 78c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Under | 54c | 20.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 70c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 60c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…12dabacked Under | 70c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)Millonarios FC won
- São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.