NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f0e1cf3725cb0ec352dec9c4fdce31ff5cf528ea003a9e3e2a6dd95402bf894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Pelicans, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 72c | 10,958$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.31 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pelicans | 27c | 7,341$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.43 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 22c | 3,673$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.41 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Warriors | 67c | 3,170$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.27 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Pelicans | 10c | 1,841$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pelicans | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,412$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,410$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Pelicans | 39c | 1,290$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans | 28c | 1,013$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Warriors | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pelicans | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Warriors | 57c | 975.18$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Pelicans | 8c | 973.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pelicans | 42c | 879.04$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.43 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Warriors | 73c | 832.74$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 64c | 822.46$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Pelicans | 37c | 742$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.29 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Pelicans | 37c | 681.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.53 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Warriors | 72c | 656$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Pelicans | 41c | 628$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Pelicans | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Warriors | 57c | 554.94$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Pelicans | 27c | 517.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Warriors | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Pelicans | 42c | 443.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Pelicans | 21c | 420$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…c22ebacked Warriors | 58c | 411.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Pelicans | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…dab5backed Pelicans | 37c | 386.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Pelicans | 43c | 347$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Warriors | 62c | 336.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Pelicans | 32c | 311.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Pelicans | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Pelicans | 40c | 277.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Warriors | 77c | 253.6$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Warriors | 60c | 251.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Pelicans | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…7a61backed Warriors | 61c | 202.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pelicans | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Pelicans | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 58c | 184.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pelicans | 7c | 175.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Warriors | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Warriors | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…9dedbacked Warriors | 67c | 159.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Warriors | 60c | 151.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Pelicans | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Warriors | 70c | 133.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 14c | 127.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Pelicans | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…6aaabacked Pelicans | 47c | 118.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Pelicans | 27c | 110.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Warriors | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…7a5bbacked Pelicans | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Warriors | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…33ebbacked Pelicans | 43c | 92.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…a1fcbacked Warriors | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3e…ac20backed Pelicans | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…17a0backed Warriors | 60c | 79.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…a49abacked Pelicans | 43c | 78.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…0416backed Pelicans | 30c | 70.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Warriors | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Pelicans | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 59.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…9ca7backed Warriors | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Warriors | 59c | 50.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…f6bcbacked Warriors | 54c | 50.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…a1d0backed Warriors | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Pelicans | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Pelicans | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Warriors | 60c | 48.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Pelicans | 46c | 47.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Pelicans | 26c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae1…9d17backed Pelicans | 43c | 40.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…d3a3backed Pelicans | 43c | 39.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…58bfbacked Pelicans | 43c | 37.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…c4e7backed Pelicans | 43c | 36.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…7612backed Warriors | 58c | 36.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Warriors | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…62febacked Pelicans | 43c | 35.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…b34abacked Pelicans | 43c | 34.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…53fbbacked Warriors | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…6e66backed Warriors | 61c | 34.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…d02bbacked Pelicans | 46c | 34.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7965…d8efbacked Pelicans | 42c | 33.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Warriors | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9747backed Pelicans | 43c | 32.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 41c | 31.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…b1ebbacked Pelicans | 43c | 31.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…1d1abacked Warriors | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…b2e6backed Pelicans | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.