TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers16c25,866$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.0865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked 76ers0c20,500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x792a…387dbacked 76ers0c15,208$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers14c5,003$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.921,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks74c4,934$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.7972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers14c4,360$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.11,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers3c4,251$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.341,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed 76ers5c3,430$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1611164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked 76ers1c3,300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.94573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…5715backed 76ers19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed 76ers15c2,982$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked 76ers15c2,533$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.135916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked 76ers12c2,516$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed 76ers1c2,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed 76ers7c2,273$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers13c2,127$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.661,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed 76ers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked 76ers26c1,930$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked 76ers14c1,270$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked 76ers10c1,215$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.95482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a30…1067backed 76ers19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed 76ers9c1,167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed 76ers15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.042454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers24c1,056$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d05…f421backed 76ers14c1,006$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c1,001$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked 76ers13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked 76ers15c999.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408b…8dc9backed 76ers9c922.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed 76ers14c848.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5107…6c92backed 76ers10c810.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.36933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed 76ers13c794.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed 76ers16c723.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked 76ers15c721.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…efd1backed 76ers14c642.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked 76ers4c595$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked 76ers19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked 76ers13c499.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6535046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers15c424.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed 76ers15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks77c338.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked 76ers15c334.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1896…75e8backed 76ers14c321.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 76ers13c307.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked 76ers15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed 76ers11c299.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers16c268.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.381,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers15c262.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Bucks80c259.75$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2d…d158backed 76ers7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…b87fbacked 76ers8c223.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-85.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd31…d57bbacked 76ers19c205.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.641233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed 76ers20c202.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409451.1%48 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed 76ers14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Bucks78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4419746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e0…53c6backed 76ers16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked 76ers14c199.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed 76ers18c199.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers11c182.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0731125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed 76ers8c178$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2448741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers16c170$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f1…504ebacked 76ers14c164.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ea…459fbacked 76ers14c150.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f6…42e5backed 76ers18c148.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…f97fbacked 76ers14c142.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0387…011abacked 76ers21c137.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…2781backed 76ers13c135.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked 76ers13c133.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1788335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Bucks78c126.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4334169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c9…6194backed Bucks80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed 76ers12c119.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.815741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed 76ers14c107.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c48…9bcbbacked 76ers14c107.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515340.5%62 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked 76ers14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed 76ers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.922846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked 76ers14c98.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7710451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…ed6ebacked 76ers21c96.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547d…c6e8backed 76ers21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed 76ers14c93.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910540%42 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…f889backed 76ers19c91.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5713…ce51backed 76ers13c82.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7312749.6%63 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4722…74b4backed 76ers14c73.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2816550.3%83 W · 82 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Bucks74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.579245.7%42 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fd…ef65backed 76ers20c65.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af8…ca16backed 76ers16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…a06abacked 76ers20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…1b79backed 76ers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10205%1 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5470…f84ebacked 76ers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107746.8%36 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb063…40d6backed 76ers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed 76ers20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c80…f4eebacked Bucks79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…5038backed Bucks70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624751.8%128 W · 119 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.