Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d22a4d09070f4f7a0e640084fb6dc22bf13222bc2dc51dc9e1c41533ac598f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof GIANTX, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Heretics | 62c | 837.89$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX | 38c | 668.03$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.71 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Heretics | 64c | 354.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…744ebacked GIANTX | 36c | 272.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed GIANTX | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked GIANTX | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GIANTX | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Team Heretics | 63c | 67.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed GIANTX | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…1911backed GIANTX | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Team Heretics | 64c | 42.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Heretics | 58c | 36.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed GIANTX | 36c | 33.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Team Heretics | 65c | 23.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…5de1backed Team Heretics | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Team Heretics | 65c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?GIANTX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.