Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9cc46ba1831ae1cf9cc2d311e4011e6809fe30e9bcd1ebe6825dfe053cf5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Paul, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Etcheverry | 44c | 1,346$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Paul | 45c | 995.81$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.42 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Etcheverry | 60c | 447.43$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul | 39c | 409.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Etcheverry | 61c | 392.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry | 58c | 319.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Etcheverry | 58c | 236.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Paul | 42c | 199.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Paul | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Paul | 37c | 173.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Etcheverry | 37c | 152.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Paul | 73c | 135.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Paul | 67c | 116.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Etcheverry | 57c | 106.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Etcheverry | 40c | 81.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…b244backed Paul | 46c | 81.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Etcheverry | 61c | 80.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Etcheverry | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Paul | 63c | 51.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Paul | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Etcheverry | 28c | 46.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paul | 52c | 46.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Paul | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paul | 41c | 41.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Etcheverry | 60c | 39.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17e…98ecbacked Etcheverry | 63c | 35.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Paul | 46c | 30.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Paul | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Etcheverry | 64c | 16.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)this page
- Etcheverry vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs PaulPaul won
- Tomas Etcheverry vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy PaulTommy Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.