Tennis · resolved market
Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Bruno Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efeeea36b5ecb9f841797e4087b0f8a4115f81af30c9879c089bc04bd9f401b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lautaro Midonof Lautaro Midon, Bruno Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ac7…336cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 17c | 7,572$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.95 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bruno Fernandez | 8c | 5,903$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.03 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Bruno Fernandez | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruno Fernandez | 1c | 2,998$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruno Fernandez | 17c | 1,515$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 1,388$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Bruno Fernandez | 2c | 1,097$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Bruno Fernandez | 19c | 1,005$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 826.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 714.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 686.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lautaro Midon | 75c | 562.41$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruno Fernandez | 11c | 523.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bruno Fernandez | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…7454backed Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 475.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 475.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked Bruno Fernandez | 12c | 450$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Bruno Fernandez | 11c | 427.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 359.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Bruno Fernandez | 18c | 275.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bruno Fernandez | 19c | 225.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bruno Fernandez | 30c | 209.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Lautaro Midon | 60c | 164.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bruno Fernandez | 25c | 150.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…accbbacked Lautaro Midon | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Bruno Fernandez | 18c | 108.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 88.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Bruno Fernandez | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…adddbacked Lautaro Midon | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Lautaro Midon | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Lautaro Midon | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Lautaro Midon | 72c | 61.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Lautaro Midon | 71c | 59.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Lautaro Midon | 71c | 51.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Lautaro Midon | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Lautaro Midon | 79c | 44.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Bruno Fernandez | 63c | 26.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Lautaro Midon | 73c | 22.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…5402backed Lautaro Midon | 78c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 34 | 85.3%29 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…d933backed Lautaro Midon | 72c | 19.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.