Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18cc37628bbb24c978707656a91442959f501b7145cbca53565ae6b22b20d212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 4,126$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.4 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 1,856$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 1,756$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 1,413$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 1,250$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 12c | 822.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 804.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 710$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 7c | 640.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 591.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 540.74$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 485.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 16c | 300.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 259.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 237.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 151.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 138.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 117.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 113.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 104.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 18c | 104.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 101.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 29c | 94.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 86.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 65.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 62.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 59.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…3781backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 47.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 47.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 45.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 38.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Shenzhen Leopards | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 64c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 18.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.