TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Barletta: Sumit Nagal vs Toby Samuel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toby Samuelof Sumit Nagal, Toby Samuel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sumit Nagal21c6,103$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.317,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Toby Samuel46c2,500$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.875756.1%32 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Toby Samuel73c1,985$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.3230857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Sumit Nagal54c1,978$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.0419052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Sumit Nagal53c1,788$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.062,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sumit Nagal21c1,678$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.362,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…e646backed Sumit Nagal54c1,289$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Toby Samuel47c1,210$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.31,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Sumit Nagal16c1,136$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Toby Samuel45c1,085$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5171857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Toby Samuel56c1,032$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.043,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Sumit Nagal39c888.11$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3624762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Toby Samuel52c791.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1681047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Toby Samuel78c660.01$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Toby Samuel76c647.22$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6232763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Toby Samuel48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Sumit Nagal18c594.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.130715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Sumit Nagal34c574.84$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3167836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Sumit Nagal16c496.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8912854.7%70 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Sumit Nagal30c477.24$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.17850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Sumit Nagal48c459.7$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6756757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toby Samuel71c450.87$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toby Samuel48c430.41$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.951,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Toby Samuel45c420.33$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Toby Samuel49c402.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.867841%32 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Sumit Nagal15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Sumit Nagal55c398.63$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.258551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Sumit Nagal54c362.53$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.191,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sumit Nagal53c337.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0729952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Toby Samuel62c313.25$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0467239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sumit Nagal32c308.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.691,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Sumit Nagal54c295.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.528544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Sumit Nagal54c289.23$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.627852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd551…d570backed Sumit Nagal40c276.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Sumit Nagal47c271.87$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7899056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Toby Samuel75c252.08$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.081,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sumit Nagal53c248$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.447,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Toby Samuel46c246.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9918957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Toby Samuel46c245.29$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.466246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Toby Samuel78c223.94$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Toby Samuel78c223.94$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.619263%58 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Toby Samuel45c218.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4157349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sumit Nagal19c198.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.993,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Toby Samuel62c190.81$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5150364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Toby Samuel46c184.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6919754.8%108 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Toby Samuel54c182.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.921,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Toby Samuel51c178.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.816550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Sumit Nagal57c172.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Sumit Nagal30c171.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7628835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sumit Nagal45c171.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.083,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Sumit Nagal56c169.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1713958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Sumit Nagal20c164$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.815748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Sumit Nagal16c154.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.819443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Toby Samuel65c151.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1130653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sumit Nagal23c151.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.741,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Toby Samuel55c148.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0820664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Toby Samuel50c146$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Sumit Nagal58c139.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.052,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Toby Samuel61c135.74$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Sumit Nagal15c134.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7412831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Sumit Nagal24c133.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Sumit Nagal20c128.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.66550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Toby Samuel46c123.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Sumit Nagal48c123.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.146848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel53c116.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.914,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Sumit Nagal48c108.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0113847.8%66 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Sumit Nagal55c107.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.111428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Sumit Nagal19c106.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6912548%60 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Toby Samuel43c106.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7258734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Sumit Nagal36c106.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2748650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Sumit Nagal36c106.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.277542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe47…a4b1backed Sumit Nagal36c106.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.278951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Toby Samuel47c105.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.140161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Toby Samuel75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2546556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Sumit Nagal36c99.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9423248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Toby Samuel65c99.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4471165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Sumit Nagal55c97.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4315457.1%88 W · 66 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Sumit Nagal47c94.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4585748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb659…48e5backed Sumit Nagal55c93.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Sumit Nagal54c91.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2534637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Sumit Nagal22c89.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7815514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd270…7fb2backed Sumit Nagal17c85.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Toby Samuel46c83.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2250259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Sumit Nagal24c82.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.534744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Toby Samuel46c74.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.472958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Toby Samuel70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4315374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Sumit Nagal42c71.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8728762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Sumit Nagal48c69.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.512166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Toby Samuel75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6718478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Toby Samuel71c66.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0250156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Toby Samuel75c65.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4815059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Toby Samuel79c62.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.813955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e74…069bbacked Sumit Nagal18c61.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-85.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Sumit Nagal55c60.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Sumit Nagal19c59.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2922646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Sumit Nagal33c58.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4413750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Toby Samuel74c58.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sumit Nagal21c58.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.292,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Sumit Nagal50c57.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5733055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.