Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Dan Martin vs Facundo Mena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf6b1f960b5e845e9c921546b130cec170ba3ade85df6c03499546672b9b9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Menaof Dan Martin, Facundo Mena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,678 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Mena | 78c | 9,723$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dan Martin | 25c | 5,603$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.31 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Dan Martin | 29c | 4,926$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.04 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Facundo Mena | 70c | 2,842$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.29 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dan Martin | 26c | 2,717$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.53 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Dan Martin | 16c | 2,492$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.32 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Dan Martin | 22c | 2,069$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Facundo Mena | 79c | 1,490$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Dan Martin | 24c | 1,354$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.28 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Dan Martin | 25c | 1,302$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dan Martin | 24c | 1,187$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Dan Martin | 23c | 1,087$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Dan Martin | 30c | 1,009$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.76 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Dan Martin | 21c | 1,008$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dan Martin | 26c | 999.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Dan Martin | 21c | 959.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…2a0cbacked Dan Martin | 19c | 804.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Dan Martin | 23c | 800$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Facundo Mena | 77c | 781.17$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Dan Martin | 23c | 646.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Dan Martin | 23c | 571.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Facundo Mena | 74c | 537.25$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Dan Martin | 22c | 494.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…fed6backed Facundo Mena | 75c | 398.76$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Mena | 76c | 394.54$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dan Martin | 23c | 377.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dan Martin | 25c | 323.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Dan Martin | 21c | 297.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dan Martin | 21c | 288.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Facundo Mena | 73c | 260$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dan Martin | 21c | 255.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Facundo Mena | 74c | 233.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Dan Martin | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Dan Martin | 25c | 204.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Dan Martin | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Facundo Mena | 75c | 186.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Facundo Mena | 74c | 178$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Facundo Mena | 79c | 162.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Facundo Mena | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dan Martin | 18c | 138.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Facundo Mena | 73c | 132.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…bff7backed Dan Martin | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Facundo Mena | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Dan Martin | 28c | 129$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Facundo Mena | 73c | 128.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Facundo Mena | 71c | 114.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Facundo Mena | 74c | 114.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Dan Martin | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Dan Martin | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Dan Martin | 30c | 95.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dan Martin | 24c | 87.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Facundo Mena | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Facundo Mena | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Dan Martin | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Facundo Mena | 77c | 58.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dan Martin | 26c | 55.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Facundo Mena | 78c | 53.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dan Martin | 24c | 52.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Dan Martin | 20c | 51.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Dan Martin | 23c | 46.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Facundo Mena | 74c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Facundo Mena | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Facundo Mena | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Facundo Mena | 74c | 38.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Facundo Mena | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Facundo Mena | 76c | 27.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704c…19afbacked Facundo Mena | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Facundo Mena | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…7edabacked Facundo Mena | 73c | 22.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Facundo Mena | 78c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Facundo Mena | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Facundo Mena | 72c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Facundo Mena | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Facundo Mena | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…5f86backed Facundo Mena | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.