TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bucaramanga: Nicolas Villalon vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Villalonof Nicolas Villalon, Juan Manuel La Serna
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nicolas Villalon75c11,683$8,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.5280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna59c4,978$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.864,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x027f…472abacked Nicolas Villalon26c3,874$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.374134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Manuel La Serna63c3,520$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.676,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Nicolas Villalon16c3,195$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,69517936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nicolas Villalon18c2,725$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c2,456$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.352,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Villalon45c1,828$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Nicolas Villalon24c1,355$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.7727231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nicolas Villalon27c1,158$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.272,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Nicolas Villalon15c1,093$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.339737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Juan Manuel La Serna59c890.39$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.230844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Nicolas Villalon13c844.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.7521720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Nicolas Villalon15c836.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.5167836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Villalon29c821.35$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.714,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nicolas Villalon14c661.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.4837153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Juan Manuel La Serna57c646.06$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0165346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Juan Manuel La Serna43c585.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Juan Manuel La Serna61c585.17$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Juan Manuel La Serna36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20067239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna52c545.48$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.274,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolas Villalon40c345.52$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.942,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Nicolas Villalon32c309.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Manuel La Serna58c302.44$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.414,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Juan Manuel La Serna61c299$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.752,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Manuel La Serna50c291.02$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.484,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Juan Manuel La Serna72c283.89$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8323248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna71c282$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Juan Manuel La Serna79c276.35$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1941668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Nicolas Villalon54c263.48$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.416830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nicolas Villalon38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna39c257.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9939955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Nicolas Villalon13c257.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Juan Manuel La Serna39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c239.96$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Villalon35c237.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.867,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nicolas Villalon25c218$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.821,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Nicolas Villalon41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Juan Manuel La Serna49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Juan Manuel La Serna76c194.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.361,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Juan Manuel La Serna39c192.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8324460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nicolas Villalon26c188.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.161,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…438cbacked Nicolas Villalon31c182.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.432657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Nicolas Villalon61c163.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5318258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Juan Manuel La Serna45c163.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4311650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Juan Manuel La Serna13c156.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Juan Manuel La Serna39c154.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8132050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Nicolas Villalon20c153.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6254434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Juan Manuel La Serna67c144.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.473450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Juan Manuel La Serna71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Juan Manuel La Serna79c140.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.42941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Juan Manuel La Serna74c134.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Nicolas Villalon66c120.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6394549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Villalon19c117.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.056,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Nicolas Villalon17c116.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.92528%7 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna78c109.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7989364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Nicolas Villalon25c103.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7661924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Nicolas Villalon17c101.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.93732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nicolas Villalon29c101.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.491,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Nicolas Villalon19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8115512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6946556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nicolas Villalon28c85.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.131,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2608…4468backed Nicolas Villalon16c85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.391827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nicolas Villalon16c80.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1845147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Nicolas Villalon41c77.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8332843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Juan Manuel La Serna63c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0765264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Nicolas Villalon15c74.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.119544.2%42 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Juan Manuel La Serna58c69.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405650%28 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Juan Manuel La Serna60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Nicolas Villalon26c66.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.334422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Juan Manuel La Serna75c66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4615258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nicolas Villalon28c57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0273745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nicolas Villalon44c47.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5253752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Villalon43c46.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.683,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna72c44.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0348650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Juan Manuel La Serna71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.460141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna78c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.247453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Nicolas Villalon43c37.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2226349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Nicolas Villalon39c37.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6138460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Juan Manuel La Serna62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e91…8d7ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna64c31.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Juan Manuel La Serna60c25.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4810152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Juan Manuel La Serna76c25.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195345.3%24 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Juan Manuel La Serna80c24.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.797,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Nicolas Villalon43c23.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2221172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Nicolas Villalon60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna78c19.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3215248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna64c18.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c7…e929backed Juan Manuel La Serna67c17.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Juan Manuel La Serna63c16.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2831434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.