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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duquesne Dukes vs. George Mason Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, George Mason Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes24c8,668$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,610.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed George Mason Patriots77c8,015$6,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,135.42,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked George Mason Patriots77c4,045$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.0112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Duquesne Dukes37c3,762$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.961442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes23c2,316$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.72,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed George Mason Patriots79c2,178$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.8446446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed George Mason Patriots72c2,169$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.463,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duquesne Dukes22c1,904$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.422,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Duquesne Dukes25c1,512$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.5160548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Duquesne Dukes22c1,500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17020026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed George Mason Patriots78c1,438$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.899444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed George Mason Patriots70c1,347$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.865,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Duquesne Dukes20c1,333$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.0555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked George Mason Patriots66c1,304$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.291,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Duquesne Dukes63c1,279$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.661,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed George Mason Patriots77c1,180$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.371,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Duquesne Dukes25c1,011$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.2199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked George Mason Patriots2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Duquesne Dukes24c922$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.821,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Duquesne Dukes29c901.11$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.871,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked George Mason Patriots70c709.86$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.341,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed George Mason Patriots57c706.18$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes34c699$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.554,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked George Mason Patriots76c603.97$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.4887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Duquesne Dukes30c554.03$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.582,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Duquesne Dukes26c545.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed George Mason Patriots75c541.18$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.478055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Duquesne Dukes19c522$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42223028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked George Mason Patriots40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Duquesne Dukes22c495$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.191848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Duquesne Dukes29c437.19$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Duquesne Dukes30c364.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Duquesne Dukes21c349.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.641,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed George Mason Patriots69c306.37$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.662,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked George Mason Patriots70c306$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9525246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed George Mason Patriots71c274.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.371,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed George Mason Patriots54c263$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Duquesne Dukes28c253.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed George Mason Patriots76c202.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Duquesne Dukes23c154$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.588050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Duquesne Dukes25c153.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.561,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked George Mason Patriots60c137.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.531,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Duquesne Dukes48c130.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.051,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Duquesne Dukes25c103.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2262451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Duquesne Dukes23c100.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2338645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Duquesne Dukes25c99.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9713052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Duquesne Dukes21c97.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6814553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed George Mason Patriots73c95.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed George Mason Patriots77c84.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked George Mason Patriots39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Duquesne Dukes30c71.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.233,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duquesne Dukes54c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.741,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…fa80backed Duquesne Dukes16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked George Mason Patriots67c59.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7470349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked George Mason Patriots75c58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Duquesne Dukes23c58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.667243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Duquesne Dukes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6910043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Duquesne Dukes37c51.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed George Mason Patriots69c51.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed George Mason Patriots78c51.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Duquesne Dukes24c50.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.212,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Duquesne Dukes22c49.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.646319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Duquesne Dukes24c49.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3937835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Duquesne Dukes29c48.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0419332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2595…e362backed Duquesne Dukes25c45.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+204.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a48…db20backed Duquesne Dukes29c45.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+147.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Duquesne Dukes26c45.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.582850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Duquesne Dukes26c44.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked George Mason Patriots73c44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.921553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed George Mason Patriots69c41.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.638350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed George Mason Patriots78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Duquesne Dukes38c34.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5222953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked George Mason Patriots63c33.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed George Mason Patriots77c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.873060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed George Mason Patriots77c29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.333148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed George Mason Patriots72c27.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.499259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed George Mason Patriots77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked George Mason Patriots77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed George Mason Patriots77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.942853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked George Mason Patriots77c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.173762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed George Mason Patriots55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked George Mason Patriots77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed George Mason Patriots77c16.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.446238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed George Mason Patriots80c16.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.876956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked George Mason Patriots77c16.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.316144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed George Mason Patriots77c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.322860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb846…7a15backed George Mason Patriots75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ee…96c5backed George Mason Patriots75c15.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db0…75b0backed George Mason Patriots75c14.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed George Mason Patriots74c14.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8514846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.