Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Jaguars vs. Alcorn State Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e61ed2b125b2c7ba78c4c86d0cb3c5504a8c3209b0a184564a896c86c212b03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcorn State Bravesof Southern Jaguars, Alcorn State Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alcorn State Braves | 60c | 5,718$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Jaguars | 37c | 2,924$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.23 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Jaguars | 40c | 1,790$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Jaguars | 59c | 1,712$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.79 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Alcorn State Braves | 25c | 1,188$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Alcorn State Braves | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Jaguars | 42c | 970.33$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.09 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southern Jaguars | 35c | 955.73$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Jaguars | 78c | 831.93$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Southern Jaguars | 32c | 700$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.53 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Alcorn State Braves | 39c | 474.68$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Jaguars | 22c | 430.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Southern Jaguars | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alcorn State Braves | 38c | 396.95$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Alcorn State Braves | 61c | 396.39$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Jaguars | 51c | 382$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Southern Jaguars | 16c | 304.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alcorn State Braves | 45c | 285.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Alcorn State Braves | 29c | 261.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.18 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Southern Jaguars | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Southern Jaguars | 21c | 186$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Alcorn State Braves | 26c | 182.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Southern Jaguars | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Alcorn State Braves | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Southern Jaguars | 72c | 74.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Southern Jaguars | 28c | 71.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…a24abacked Alcorn State Braves | 57c | 60.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Southern Jaguars | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Southern Jaguars | 68c | 58.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Alcorn State Braves | 33c | 57.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…d65cbacked Southern Jaguars | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Alcorn State Braves | 48c | 44.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Southern Jaguars | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Southern Jaguars | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Southern Jaguars | 59c | 31.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Southern Jaguars | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Southern Jaguars | 44c | 27.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…fc0abacked Southern Jaguars | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Southern Jaguars | 46c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed Southern Jaguars | 52c | 25.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Alcorn State Braves | 67c | 15.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Jaguars vs. Alcorn State Bravesthis page
- Southern Jaguars vs. Alcorn State Braves: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.