NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe700a1e1e575f5ea6905f59ab881ae5f712d045ca2ce24092272fc25d29af6ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Wizards, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…f328backed Suns | 34c | 2,856$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.67 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Suns | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Wizards | 47c | 1,817$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.92 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Suns | 36c | 1,717$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.31 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Wizards | 72c | 1,553$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 63c | 1,198$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wizards | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Wizards | 72c | 844.83$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.83 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wizards | 64c | 573.78$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 73c | 499.91$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.94 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Suns | 28c | 421.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.43 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Suns | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Suns | 52c | 336.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…1654backed Suns | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wizards | 69c | 287.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Suns | 28c | 258.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Suns | 27c | 237.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Wizards | 71c | 204.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Suns | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Wizards | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Wizards | 68c | 166.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Suns | 32c | 158.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wizards | 47c | 129.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns | 28c | 119.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Suns | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 27c | 109.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Suns | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Suns | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Wizards | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 69c | 77.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Suns | 31c | 75.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked Wizards | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Suns | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Suns | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Suns | 26c | 49.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…7844backed Suns | 27c | 40.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Suns | 30c | 39.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Wizards | 69c | 38.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Suns | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c85…0884backed Suns | 50c | 38.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Wizards | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Suns | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Wizards | 66c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Wizards | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Wizards | 74c | 27.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…1480backed Wizards | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…0af7backed Wizards | 44c | 25.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…b268backed Wizards | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Wizards | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…604cbacked Wizards | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…aab5backed Wizards | 73c | 18.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…7bf9backed Wizards | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…4b6fbacked Wizards | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…d169backed Wizards | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3e…efcfbacked Wizards | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…7f21backed Wizards | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…db4dbacked Wizards | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.