MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d73d149ca4cab91bbd6d9a6c3b3c837333209567006c787f9f2d2ff3925b655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $858,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $976,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $858,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 562,987$206,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,344.88 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 63c | 215,028$136,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,012.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed New York Yankees | 63c | 53,587$33,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,827.17 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 30,914$20,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,842.26 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 17,615$13,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 16,621$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed New York Yankees | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 63c | 14,232$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 14,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 68c | 12,146$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 65c | 11,538$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.46 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 65c | 11,255$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.22 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 64c | 11,000$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 10,085$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.92 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 63c | 7,936$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.3 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 5,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 4,960$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 68c | 3,991$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees | 64c | 3,747$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.82 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 64c | 3,621$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.56 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Yankees | 65c | 3,530$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.56 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 3,512$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.59 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 77c | 3,497$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.15 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 64c | 2,500$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 2,238$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,993$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.77 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 63c | 1,921$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,841$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.73 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,690$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,574$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.56 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,482$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.6 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,453$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.38 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,435$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,361$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,074$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.13 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed New York Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Yankees | 64c | 999.94$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…c7eebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 943.48$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 904.94$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed New York Yankees | 64c | 859.37$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.37 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 77c | 859.33$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 64c | 852.38$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed New York Yankees | 63c | 798.46$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.7 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees | 65c | 777.16$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.01 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Yankees | 65c | 741.45$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees | 63c | 697.47$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 675.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed New York Yankees | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 599.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Yankees | 64c | 499.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 475$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 474.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 472.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 63c | 427.37$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 63c | 426$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 420$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 64c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…decabacked New York Yankees | 65c | 379.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 77c | 360.31$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 345$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 324$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed New York Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed New York Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 305.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed New York Yankees | 65c | 304.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed New York Yankees | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 300.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…4c66backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 297.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 283$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-8.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.