MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382b16e3fa20083345388d3e212d0eeb7a16582b5ab22ebf6e6eb645985b67f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 11,712$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 8,735$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.29 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 54c | 7,797$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 7,567$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,358$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.71 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 3,817$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,928$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.66 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 2,363$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 67c | 1,778$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,703$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.51 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.99 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,346$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.62 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,270$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,237$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.89 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 63c | 985$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…bd69backed New York Yankees | 54c | 897.02$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 50c | 878$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.78 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 855.32$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.45 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 562$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees | 53c | 408.91$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed New York Yankees | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…27f1backed New York Yankees | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 345.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed New York Yankees | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 226.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 220.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed New York Yankees | 49c | 209$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked New York Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed New York Yankees | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed New York Yankees | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed New York Yankees | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 107.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked New York Yankees | 53c | 100.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed New York Yankees | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…ed44backed New York Yankees | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 89.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 74.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed New York Yankees | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked New York Yankees | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 67.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 58.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed New York Yankees | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed New York Yankees | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed New York Yankees | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…764fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed New York Yankees | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 42.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed New York Yankees | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees | 54c | 29.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…f6a6backed New York Yankees | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed New York Yankees | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…e8ffbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 25.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed New York Yankees | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed New York Yankees | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed New York Yankees | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-8.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.