MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda41287cdb20c0529122e083fbfff4bb8daac885775320d682e31ada34853dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 55,108$29,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,574.8 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 47,912$22,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,051.63 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 20,345$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,172.59 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 7,966$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 4,342$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,218$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 2,876$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 49c | 2,758$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.59 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 2,729$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 2,291$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 2,048$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 2,017$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.09 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 2,010$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 1,659$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 1,282$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.77 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 46c | 1,212$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.48 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 1,196$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 900$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 43c | 823.43$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 800.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 761.57$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 646.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 415.29$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 45c | 384.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.72 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 281$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.87 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 264.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 40c | 176.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…0af7backed Under | 50c | 151.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 50c | 118.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 49c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 109.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 50c | 99.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 42c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 58c | 83.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 76c | 82.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 80.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 78.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 55c | 70.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 55.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Over | 21c | 48.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 45.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Over | 55c | 43.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 51c | 42.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 49c | 40.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Under | 48c | 36.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 56c | 35.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 49c | 34.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 61c | 33.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 52c | 31.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 47c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 46c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 55c | 24.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Under | 58c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 55c | 18.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.