WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a235b2e6896a51c17ac9d9faa74e14825b554f9bf44e32b2b44fd4cf3594c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Dallas Wings, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 5,179$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 2,764$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 2,167$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.72 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 1,940$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.37 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 1,803$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,518$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 1,210$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.07 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 945.14$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.99 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dallas Wings | 8c | 774.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 679.45$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.96 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 528.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 520.83$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 414.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 300.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Chicago Sky | 66c | 203.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 190$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings | 17c | 189.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 139.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky | 70c | 112.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 64c | 108.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 103.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 102.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Dallas Wings | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 99.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 88.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 74.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Chicago Sky | 64c | 60.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 56.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 53.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 35.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 30.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chicago Sky | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 28.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 26.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 22.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Chicago Sky | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 20.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.