WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d7b1469c0cea1575caac4c8fb4c0e5910711471c598299fe71ca49c1172b36b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Dallas Wings, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 7,106$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.34 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 5,085$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.81 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 68c | 4,891$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.59 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 21c | 4,546$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.92 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 1,672$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 44c | 1,411$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.93 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,160$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.62 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Sky | 74c | 1,112$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 619$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.6 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 614.02$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.63 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 511.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 499.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.47 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Dallas Wings | 10c | 412.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dallas Wings | 29c | 403.73$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 391.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 362.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Chicago Sky | 76c | 253.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dallas Wings | 20c | 250.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Sky | 72c | 244.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Dallas Wings | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 184.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Chicago Sky | 66c | 178$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…4f8dbacked Chicago Sky | 71c | 140.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Chicago Sky | 64c | 133.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Chicago Sky | 73c | 122.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Chicago Sky | 73c | 120.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 117.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dallas Wings | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dallas Wings | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dallas Wings | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dallas Wings | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings | 26c | 99.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 91.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dallas Wings | 21c | 79.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago Sky | 76c | 76.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings | 24c | 75.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 74.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Chicago Sky | 75c | 72.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Chicago Sky | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Chicago Sky | 70c | 67.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 67.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Chicago Sky | 74c | 67.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Chicago Sky | 68c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Wings | 34c | 56.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 48.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Chicago Sky | 77c | 46.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 44.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 39.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Chicago Sky | 70c | 33.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 33.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 33.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 30.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 28.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.