WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc3a2644fa9faea40f768b1d6f56afba3520acccb2340296d99457899af9c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Dallas Wings, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 6,100$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.72 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,743$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.29 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,318$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.23 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,070$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.48 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 936.36$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dallas Wings | 11c | 774.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 624$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 590.9$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 422.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 418.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 376.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 237.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 229$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 228.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Chicago Sky | 74c | 196$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Dallas Wings | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 112.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 101.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 98.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chicago Sky | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 51.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 34.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.