WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79968fcc1a20b9f421699b69df2679b0cf4505475946525b7cabdb00ceac2c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Under | 45c | 8,162$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 7,048$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 1,491$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.85 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 1,139$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.85 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 840$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 296.4$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 9c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 54c | 171.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 47c | 160.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 157.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 36c | 156$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…fb0cbacked Over | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 33.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 55c | 31.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 61c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 55c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.