WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94675c2d6004b91a60d7dd0cfcecde3b2464da36c83ce89cd90816a0ef541ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 1,372$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 1,219$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.61 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 44c | 612.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.72 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 562.77$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 551.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 504.18$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 238.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 189.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 30c | 179.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 112.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 69.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 23.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 59c | 23.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 58c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.