Tennis · resolved market
Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c198ce8e39d87a94e2c492b01da5328d9c2e6072117ab732c7ce71ad2291b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- August Holmgrenof August Holmgren, Yosuke Watanuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yosuke Watanuki | 50c | 7,500$3,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.71 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren | 33c | 4,218$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.95 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed August Holmgren | 42c | 3,870$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.02 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed August Holmgren | 50c | 3,518$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.03 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yosuke Watanuki | 50c | 3,517$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.92 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 3,330$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.61 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Yosuke Watanuki | 80c | 1,983$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.31 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 1,003$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.86 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked August Holmgren | 50c | 993.13$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 982.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.32 | 618 | 57.8%357 W · 261 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed August Holmgren | 50c | 981$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.13 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yosuke Watanuki | 58c | 936.34$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.04 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked August Holmgren | 46c | 911.56$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.26 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 75c | 855.61$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yosuke Watanuki | 71c | 803.75$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.82 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yosuke Watanuki | 50c | 800$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yosuke Watanuki | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 37c | 770.53$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 696.26$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 620.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.54 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yosuke Watanuki | 48c | 599.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed August Holmgren | 51c | 588.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.39 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 587.32$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 311 | 33.8%105 W · 206 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren | 45c | 551.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.67 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed August Holmgren | 57c | 514$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 432.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed August Holmgren | 21c | 422$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.17 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked August Holmgren | 50c | 399.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 702 | 52.8%371 W · 331 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yosuke Watanuki | 46c | 398$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 376.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 50c | 365.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked August Holmgren | 29c | 338.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.93 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked August Holmgren | 34c | 316.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed August Holmgren | 34c | 314.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 303.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed August Holmgren | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed August Holmgren | 33c | 298.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 280$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed August Holmgren | 50c | 270$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren | 36c | 269.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked August Holmgren | 61c | 262.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 699 | 47.8%334 W · 365 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed August Holmgren | 51c | 260.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 1,066 | 52.4%559 W · 507 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 260$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yosuke Watanuki | 37c | 253.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked August Holmgren | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed August Holmgren | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 38c | 233.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren | 63c | 230.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 76c | 223$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed August Holmgren | 57c | 213.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed August Holmgren | 52c | 205.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 202.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed August Holmgren | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked August Holmgren | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked August Holmgren | 50c | 198.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked August Holmgren | 37c | 192.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed August Holmgren | 51c | 179.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed August Holmgren | 50c | 179.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed August Holmgren | 15c | 176$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed August Holmgren | 31c | 171.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 248 | 48.4%120 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yosuke Watanuki | 50c | 156.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 153.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked August Holmgren | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 828 | 47.3%392 W · 436 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed August Holmgren | 37c | 142.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 798 | 57.6%460 W · 338 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 49c | 142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked August Holmgren | 54c | 132$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed August Holmgren | 34c | 129.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed August Holmgren | 55c | 127.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Yosuke Watanuki | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed August Holmgren | 35c | 120.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked August Holmgren | 40c | 117.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 117.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 300 | 42.3%127 W · 173 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked August Holmgren | 51c | 115.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked August Holmgren | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed August Holmgren | 58c | 109.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed August Holmgren | 52c | 108.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed August Holmgren | 55c | 108.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Yosuke Watanuki | 12c | 102.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked August Holmgren | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked August Holmgren | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed August Holmgren | 51c | 98.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Yosuke Watanuki | 32c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed August Holmgren | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yosuke Watanuki | 45c | 88.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yosuke Watanuki | 48c | 87.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked August Holmgren | 51c | 87.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed August Holmgren | 63c | 82.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed August Holmgren | 25c | 80.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanukithis page
- Holmgren vs. Watanuki: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Holmgren vs. Watanuki: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.