NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Indiana Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb4d0baa07206a75eaafe418d1559277899bfcfada5a1368698a63dae2e1b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Pacersof New Orleans Pelicans, Indiana Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 0c | 6,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 2c | 5,140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 58c | 1,701$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.59 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New Orleans Pelicans | 10c | 1,435$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 18c | 986.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Indiana Pacers | 56c | 943.02$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.93 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New Orleans Pelicans | 38c | 882.55$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.93 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Pacers | 60c | 593.67$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.42 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Indiana Pacers | 50c | 556.79$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New Orleans Pelicans | 50c | 491.74$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Pacers | 55c | 482.05$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Pacers | 59c | 398.21$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 10c | 353.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Pacers | 50c | 257.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed New Orleans Pelicans | 37c | 226.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New Orleans Pelicans | 30c | 193.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Indiana Pacers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed New Orleans Pelicans | 52c | 112.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Pacers | 62c | 60.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Indiana Pacers | 56c | 56.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed New Orleans Pelicans | 23c | 50.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88c…078fbacked Indiana Pacers | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Indiana Pacers | 46c | 40.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked New Orleans Pelicans | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Indiana Pacers | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Indiana Pacers | 57c | 33.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Pacers | 41c | 31.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked New Orleans Pelicans | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Indiana Pacers | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…9433backed New Orleans Pelicans | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.