CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72feda518ebff2310112f91ba6616bb227ee0a37bb8092908e882165dfa306da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof STATE, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked STATE | 50c | 5,872$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.92 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 5,696$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed STATE | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked STATE | 58c | 1,276$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.75 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lazer Cats | 57c | 1,257$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lazer Cats | 46c | 1,209$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 1,133$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.29 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed STATE | 56c | 922.91$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed STATE | 48c | 908.6$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.13 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lazer Cats | 51c | 853.7$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 27c | 680$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lazer Cats | 47c | 583.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 515.36$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.42 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lazer Cats | 51c | 509.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.87 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 6c | 349.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed STATE | 50c | 338.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed STATE | 53c | 332.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 321.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 66c | 298.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed STATE | 53c | 283.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked STATE | 53c | 283.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Lazer Cats | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lazer Cats | 47c | 173$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked STATE | 27c | 170.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lazer Cats | 59c | 153.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked STATE | 22c | 151.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed STATE | 57c | 147.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Lazer Cats | 62c | 147.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +9.9wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed STATE | 50c | 145.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 143$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed STATE | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked STATE | 27c | 129.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lazer Cats | 53c | 128.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked STATE | 19c | 115.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Lazer Cats | 31c | 108.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked STATE | 52c | 104.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed STATE | 37c | 100.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Lazer Cats | 56c | 98.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lazer Cats | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 20c | 96.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lazer Cats | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lazer Cats | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed STATE | 51c | 83.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked STATE | 32c | 82.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Lazer Cats | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked STATE | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed STATE | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lazer Cats | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lazer Cats | 51c | 52.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked STATE | 53c | 52.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lazer Cats | 69c | 46.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lazer Cats | 43c | 45.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lazer Cats | 64c | 41.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lazer Cats | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked STATE | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Lazer Cats | 38c | 39.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lazer Cats | 53c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed STATE | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lazer Cats | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lazer Cats | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Lazer Cats | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lazer Cats | 63c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lazer Cats | 55c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked STATE | 49c | 20.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Lazer Cats | 54c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked STATE | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed STATE | 72c | 16.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lazer Cats | 66c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed Lazer Cats | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 WinnerLazer Cats won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerLazer Cats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.