CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd049da7655b90a0b99f64045d631aef63dc6515ab407ac015e097d165c296aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof STATE, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed STATE | 72c | 1,518$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 47c | 1,235$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 31c | 556.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked STATE | 31c | 316.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Lazer Cats | 66c | 291.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked STATE | 76c | 243.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lazer Cats | 34c | 233.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lazer Cats | 42c | 221.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed STATE | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lazer Cats | 48c | 147.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked STATE | 27c | 130.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed STATE | 58c | 105.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lazer Cats | 45c | 86.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lazer Cats | 28c | 85.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed STATE | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Lazer Cats | 71c | 70.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +9.9wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lazer Cats | 41c | 69.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lazer Cats | 37c | 61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked STATE | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lazer Cats | 38c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed STATE | 37c | 46.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lazer Cats | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed Lazer Cats | 63c | 39.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lazer Cats | 45c | 38.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked STATE | 48c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x1b65…c48abacked Lazer Cats | 47c | 23.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lazer Cats | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lazer Cats | 52c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group ALazer Cats won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerLazer Cats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.