Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Cyprus vs Croatia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90989634c6e266e25e43d506a7601a1a3e303326aa6bf23b70bec5a7997d91ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Croatiaof Cyprus, Croatia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Croatia | 66c | 2,572$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.55 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Cyprus | 36c | 1,462$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.15 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Croatia | 54c | 1,415$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.94 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Cyprus | 55c | 1,249$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.36 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Croatia | 44c | 1,183$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.49 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Cyprus | 62c | 1,175$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.93 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Croatia | 38c | 1,140$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.39 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cyprus | 51c | 1,129$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Croatia | 69c | 1,098$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Croatia | 42c | 1,029$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.87 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cyprus | 46c | 845.1$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.93 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cyprus | 34c | 670.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Cyprus | 51c | 561.74$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Cyprus | 43c | 551.39$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Croatia | 58c | 508.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.19 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cyprus | 42c | 495.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Cyprus | 42c | 457$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Cyprus | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…47cebacked Cyprus | 71c | 373.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.66 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Croatia | 53c | 333.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.59 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…442abacked Croatia | 61c | 277.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Croatia | 56c | 271.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cyprus | 53c | 241$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Cyprus | 40c | 235.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Croatia | 60c | 216.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Cyprus | 36c | 195$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cyprus | 42c | 190.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…350bbacked Cyprus | 41c | 182.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cyprus | 27c | 178.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Croatia | 61c | 177.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Croatia | 59c | 170.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Cyprus | 72c | 139.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cyprus | 43c | 128.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Croatia | 55c | 125.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Croatia | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Cyprus | 53c | 113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Croatia | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…20cebacked Cyprus | 32c | 74.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Cyprus | 34c | 73.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Cyprus | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Croatia | 24c | 69.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Croatia | 59c | 65.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Croatia | 66c | 64.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d0abacked Cyprus | 51c | 58.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cyprus | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Croatia | 50c | 50.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cyprus | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Cyprus | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cyprus | 69c | 49.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Cyprus | 74c | 48.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Croatia | 56c | 45.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Croatia | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Cyprus | 48c | 42.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Croatia | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…b562backed Cyprus | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…9ef1backed Cyprus | 64c | 36.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c9aabacked Croatia | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…46c6backed Cyprus | 75c | 34.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Cyprus | 39c | 34.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Cyprus | 44c | 34.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Cyprus | 36c | 33.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Cyprus | 57c | 33.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Cyprus | 35c | 32.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Croatia | 57c | 31.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…dd0dbacked Cyprus | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…9022backed Croatia | 62c | 28.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Cyprus | 67c | 25.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Croatia | 52c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked Cyprus | 42c | 24.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Croatia | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cyprus | 43c | 23.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cyprus | 55c | 20.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Croatia | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…61a6backed Cyprus | 64c | 19.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Croatia | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.