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Tennis · resolved market

Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauthier Onclinof Gauthier Onclin, Mert Alkaya
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b9…ff15backed Gauthier Onclin63c38,657$24,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,298.115957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mert Alkaya33c37,718$12,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,442.949,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc358…c52ebacked Mert Alkaya19c2,692$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.582532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mert Alkaya20c2,396$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.146,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mert Alkaya17c2,016$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3611,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Mert Alkaya11c1,717$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.772733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9e…3a2fbacked Gauthier Onclin72c1,239$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mert Alkaya26c1,188$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.967,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Mert Alkaya7c1,144$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Mert Alkaya10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028132%90 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mert Alkaya37c888$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.561,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mert Alkaya27c751.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.894,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Gauthier Onclin70c714.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.286264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gauthier Onclin79c707.37$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.363,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Gauthier Onclin73c703.3$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.092171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Mert Alkaya14c678.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9557321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Mert Alkaya16c632.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Mert Alkaya14c582.74$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7932240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mert Alkaya36c554.6$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.879,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Mert Alkaya39c529.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.761924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Mert Alkaya28c508.43$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14317138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e9…8b84backed Mert Alkaya10c508.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Mert Alkaya17c477.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8253736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Mert Alkaya15c443.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.596434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mert Alkaya20c421.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.962,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Gauthier Onclin63c372.84$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Mert Alkaya36c369.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.051,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Gauthier Onclin79c361$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9635132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2334…8dcfbacked Mert Alkaya19c353.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.871118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Gauthier Onclin65c305.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8618462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Mert Alkaya32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9686850.2%436 W · 432 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mert Alkaya28c263.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.782,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Gauthier Onclin80c250.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2511462.3%71 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gauthier Onclin72c249.88$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.264,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Mert Alkaya10c249.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2559050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Gauthier Onclin68c246.24$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.897745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Mert Alkaya34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Mert Alkaya18c216.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mert Alkaya19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382,44250.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L+83.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Mert Alkaya17c197.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Mert Alkaya32c195$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.434549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Gauthier Onclin68c184.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1885868.4%587 W · 271 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Gauthier Onclin75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Mert Alkaya28c163.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3628348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Gauthier Onclin63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Mert Alkaya37c158.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.736139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Mert Alkaya37c154.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1280341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa141…6744backed Mert Alkaya18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275712.3%7 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Mert Alkaya33c145.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.632,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mert Alkaya41c137.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.052,78153.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L+71.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Mert Alkaya10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e047backed Mert Alkaya12c119.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.172213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mert Alkaya27c112.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.671,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…92e4backed Gauthier Onclin67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Mert Alkaya36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8217643.8%77 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Gauthier Onclin67c103.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Mert Alkaya33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mert Alkaya27c98.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.262,88149.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb594…c1a0backed Gauthier Onclin68c92.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.617768.8%53 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Mert Alkaya32c92.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6127733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Gauthier Onclin66c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4827247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Gauthier Onclin75c84.15$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6656070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mert Alkaya29c84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.367,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Mert Alkaya24c79.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610552.4%55 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Gauthier Onclin68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Gauthier Onclin80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.537264.2%239 W · 133 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Mert Alkaya26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516940.2%68 W · 101 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Mert Alkaya24c51.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5483047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Gauthier Onclin71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Mert Alkaya32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Gauthier Onclin73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9538262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Mert Alkaya23c46.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mert Alkaya26c46.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.823,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Gauthier Onclin73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.188560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Mert Alkaya37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Gauthier Onclin71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gauthier Onclin68c38.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.322,28642.9%980 W · 1,306 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Gauthier Onclin74c34.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.972,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Mert Alkaya33c30.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0790340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Gauthier Onclin70c28.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6115040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Gauthier Onclin77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd0…e690backed Mert Alkaya50c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b7…36d3backed Gauthier Onclin50c23.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda64…4de6backed Mert Alkaya50c21.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785b…7a46backed Gauthier Onclin50c21.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gauthier Onclin71c20.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.046,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Gauthier Onclin68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Gauthier Onclin66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.88572.9%62 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91c8…3ba8backed Gauthier Onclin76c19.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.611850%9 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Gauthier Onclin75c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1111891.5%108 W · 10 L+17.4wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.