Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf47d2c9da9bc42ec6104d469e2b2a5712dfc0982277638cce9a80c26e60513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gujarat Titansof Gujarat Titans, Royal Challengers Bengaluru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 0c | 13,888$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…b2c8backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 49c | 809.89$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…1959backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Gujarat Titans | 59c | 508.21$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 49c | 335.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.02 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…9163backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 52c | 290.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Gujarat Titans | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9d…ab79backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 196.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…0a43backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…0bb7backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 53c | 75.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60bb…6ae9backed Gujarat Titans | 74c | 73.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…ad23backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Gujarat Titans | 53c | 56.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 48.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 46.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Gujarat Titans | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06d…5e5fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f6e3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 39.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596c…28ebbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…b914backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…55e8backed Gujarat Titans | 55c | 38.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Gujarat Titans | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…65b4backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…6857backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…bc4ebacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 45c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…88fcbacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…d15abacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers BengaluruGujarat Titans won
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.