Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Durham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x604aeb476c1d0a1fd4f458dc9d310e6816fa1b58c9abcb165c113436a584c904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durhamof Derbyshire, Durham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Derbyshire | 32c | 1,500$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.6 | 179 | 35.8%64 W · 115 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Durham | 77c | 971$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Durham | 68c | 730.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Durham | 65c | 728.19$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.69 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Durham | 74c | 721.91$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Derbyshire | 34c | 661.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Derbyshire | 4c | 599.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Derbyshire | 5c | 438.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Durham | 76c | 364.37$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Derbyshire | 10c | 329.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Durham | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…4d27backed Derbyshire | 37c | 269.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Derbyshire | 41c | 244.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…b562backed Derbyshire | 34c | 233.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Derbyshire | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Derbyshire | 10c | 189$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…3b5abacked Derbyshire | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Durham | 69c | 123.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Derbyshire | 38c | 105.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…e995backed Durham | 80c | 82.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Derbyshire | 24c | 73.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Derbyshire | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Durham | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Durham | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Durham | 66c | 39.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Derbyshire | 40c | 39.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Derbyshire | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…e91fbacked Durham | 62c | 33.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c9aabacked Durham | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Derbyshire | 40c | 31.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Durham | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…9042backed Derbyshire | 35c | 28.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…7dfbbacked Derbyshire | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Durham | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc7…1ec3backed Derbyshire | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Durham | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Durham | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Durham | 67c | 23.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…2e22backed Durham | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Durham | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Durham | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Durham | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Durham | 64c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Durham | 71c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Durhamthis page
- T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Durham - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.