TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon WTA: Katie Boulter vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tyra Caterina Grantof Katie Boulter, Tyra Caterina Grant
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Katie Boulter46c20,034$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.318,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Tyra Caterina Grant28c15,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.953452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Tyra Caterina Grant23c12,284$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,458.497147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tyra Caterina Grant61c11,372$6,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.274,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Tyra Caterina Grant76c8,567$6,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.0637540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd422…7e43backed Katie Boulter72c6,944$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002560%15 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Katie Boulter70c5,242$3,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.227261.1%44 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Katie Boulter58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Katie Boulter72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8801741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tyra Caterina Grant35c3,820$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.533,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Katie Boulter72c3,661$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.313,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Katie Boulter72c3,472$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Katie Boulter57c3,164$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.154,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tyra Caterina Grant28c2,862$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.665,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Tyra Caterina Grant58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0509935.4%35 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Katie Boulter54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20041251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tyra Caterina Grant47c2,202$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Katie Boulter46c2,120$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97587337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697a…a32cbacked Tyra Caterina Grant51c1,981$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Tyra Caterina Grant25c1,978$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.611,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Katie Boulter56c1,525$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8508655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Katie Boulter49c1,145$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.947025.7%18 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Tyra Caterina Grant24c1,102$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.0596945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Katie Boulter54c1,098$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3429649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Katie Boulter72c1,006$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.4522965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Katie Boulter72c939.05$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.1225764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tyra Caterina Grant59c901.33$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.664,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Tyra Caterina Grant27c896.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.511,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Katie Boulter3c877.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.522,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x123a…c974backed Katie Boulter14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Katie Boulter72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tyra Caterina Grant77c674.23$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.018,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Tyra Caterina Grant54c648.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.151,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Katie Boulter49c602.73$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.211,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Tyra Caterina Grant30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Tyra Caterina Grant28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9951744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Tyra Caterina Grant27c483.88$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.4592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Tyra Caterina Grant30c480$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.41,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Katie Boulter75c458.67$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Tyra Caterina Grant23c439.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.0433055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Tyra Caterina Grant43c426.05$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8547956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Katie Boulter22c349.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3866834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tyra Caterina Grant49c292.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1485,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Katie Boulter54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Tyra Caterina Grant29c275.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8621651.4%111 W · 105 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tyra Caterina Grant71c251.26$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.412,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Katie Boulter12c250$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.526833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tyra Caterina Grant26c249.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9983447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Katie Boulter6c243.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.272,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katie Boulter31c236.27$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.448,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Katie Boulter77c224.67$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17323742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Katie Boulter47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Katie Boulter72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Katie Boulter46c201.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7541644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tyra Caterina Grant28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tyra Caterina Grant44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fb…141bbacked Katie Boulter35c186.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.875949.2%29 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Katie Boulter75c184.6$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4573748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Katie Boulter54c183.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6340144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Katie Boulter56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Katie Boulter44c158.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8417818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Katie Boulter14c146.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.296,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Katie Boulter69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Katie Boulter40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.413531.1%42 W · 93 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Tyra Caterina Grant31c126.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Tyra Caterina Grant55c126.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.191,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Tyra Caterina Grant55c126$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Tyra Caterina Grant29c124.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.185152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Katie Boulter31c115.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1612846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff7…d9d4backed Katie Boulter13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525020.8%52 W · 198 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…3b32backed Tyra Caterina Grant44c111.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Tyra Caterina Grant56c106.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.613,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Tyra Caterina Grant78c106.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3663144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Katie Boulter48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Tyra Caterina Grant27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Katie Boulter46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Katie Boulter40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404318.6%8 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Katie Boulter38c94.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.232,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Katie Boulter69c89.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.853,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Tyra Caterina Grant29c84.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Tyra Caterina Grant29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.748245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Tyra Caterina Grant29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0232726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Tyra Caterina Grant31c69.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.212,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Katie Boulter72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Tyra Caterina Grant29c65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Tyra Caterina Grant31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5223536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tyra Caterina Grant26c60.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.091,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked Katie Boulter70c57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Katie Boulter57c50.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2964755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Tyra Caterina Grant29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.552035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Katie Boulter46c47.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0324748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Katie Boulter68c43.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9734864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…d7a8backed Tyra Caterina Grant37c41.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.045131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Katie Boulter39c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4774547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Katie Boulter73c39.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4920454.9%112 W · 92 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f8…df25backed Katie Boulter64c38.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511659.5%69 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Tyra Caterina Grant60c36.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Katie Boulter66c34.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tyra Caterina Grant30c34.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Katie Boulter44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547431.9%151 W · 323 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.