Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb230542b40ad253b96d93fedc9bd62c3b3fcdfebb3d93c2c5637df0447d6ad6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex de Minaurof Alex de Minaur, Denis Shapovalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denis Shapovalov | 13c | 12,283$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 10,106$7,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.32 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 4,541$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 4,137$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Denis Shapovalov | 10c | 4,100$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 3,864$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Alex de Minaur | 77c | 3,346$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.66 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Denis Shapovalov | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 2,536$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denis Shapovalov | 17c | 2,067$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 1,980$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.59 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…71c0backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 1,324$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 1,187$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.18 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Denis Shapovalov | 15c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 999.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 990.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 901.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Denis Shapovalov | 20c | 881.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 773.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 759.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Alex de Minaur | 80c | 708.9$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Denis Shapovalov | 19c | 601.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…2e22backed Denis Shapovalov | 16c | 517.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Denis Shapovalov | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 470.71$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 440.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 20c | 434.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 136 | 34.6%47 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Denis Shapovalov | 16c | 421.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 365.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 360.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 323.08$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Denis Shapovalov | 24c | 304.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 283$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 261.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Denis Shapovalov | 15c | 258.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Denis Shapovalov | 18c | 218$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 214.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Alex de Minaur | 76c | 176.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Denis Shapovalov | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Denis Shapovalov | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Alex de Minaur | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Alex de Minaur | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 167 | 61.1%102 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Denis Shapovalov | 12c | 116.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 20c | 112.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 105.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 102.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 101.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Denis Shapovalov | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Denis Shapovalov | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 83.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 15c | 80.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Denis Shapovalov | 19c | 78.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Denis Shapovalov | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…128abacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Alex de Minaur | 80c | 55.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 51.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Denis Shapovalov | 24c | 50.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 47.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…b806backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 46.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…2a63backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed Alex de Minaur | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 29.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Alex de Minaur | 80c | 21.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs ShapovalovMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.