TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9baa…2a63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4072.5%29 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$114.95
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.93
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinskibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$7.3
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$59.47
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$171.95
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$20.63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.39
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$76.67
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.