NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Philadelphia 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3368c724d0e3f9c438682cd80dc025d1ff03f7981f1d13e6f352ca98abdd374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Rocketsof Houston Rockets, Philadelphia 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 58c | 2,868$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.43 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 1c | 2,187$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Houston Rockets | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Philadelphia 76ers | 25c | 1,667$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 1c | 1,509$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia 76ers | 21c | 1,390$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…4800backed Philadelphia 76ers | 41c | 1,242$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.99 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Philadelphia 76ers | 3c | 1,210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia 76ers | 27c | 1,183$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Houston Rockets | 68c | 1,172$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Houston Rockets | 40c | 1,114$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.02 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…fe0bbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Philadelphia 76ers | 59c | 913.92$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Philadelphia 76ers | 12c | 829.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 826.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Houston Rockets | 64c | 778.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Houston Rockets | 52c | 707.84$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Houston Rockets | 70c | 573.97$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Houston Rockets | 44c | 544.47$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Houston Rockets | 42c | 511.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.9 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Rockets | 41c | 481.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.09 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Houston Rockets | 68c | 400$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Rockets | 40c | 385.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Philadelphia 76ers | 64c | 312.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Houston Rockets | 62c | 299.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 261.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia 76ers | 9c | 254.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Houston Rockets | 42c | 237.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Philadelphia 76ers | 57c | 228.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Philadelphia 76ers | 28c | 221.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Rockets | 51c | 220.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Houston Rockets | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Houston Rockets | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Rockets | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Philadelphia 76ers | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Houston Rockets | 69c | 152.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Philadelphia 76ers | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Houston Rockets | 47c | 106.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia 76ers | 57c | 99.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Philadelphia 76ers | 44c | 99.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Houston Rockets | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Rockets | 42c | 83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 42c | 71.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Philadelphia 76ers | 59c | 70.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Rockets | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia 76ers | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Houston Rockets | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Philadelphia 76ers | 31c | 63.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia 76ers | 40c | 55.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Houston Rockets | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…85aabacked Philadelphia 76ers | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Houston Rockets | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Houston Rockets | 44c | 47.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Houston Rockets | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia 76ers | 62c | 38.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…030ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 62c | 30.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Houston Rockets | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…b257backed Houston Rockets | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…1d84backed Philadelphia 76ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Houston Rockets | 63c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.