Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maria Timofeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4659cd39364f12ec5e760be045eef49f8875bbf1a867c83a11d05ec8c36ba470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Timofeevaof Beatriz Haddad Maia, Maria Timofeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 19c | 5,858$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.09 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 28c | 2,862$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 1,944$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Timofeeva | 80c | 1,730$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.86 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 12c | 1,584$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 17c | 1,397$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 1,235$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.59 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 694.05$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 674.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 17c | 641.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 599.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 15c | 433.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 399.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 28c | 367.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 309.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 301$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 29c | 287$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 229.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 69c | 227.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 9c | 207.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Maria Timofeeva | 71c | 140.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 72c | 111.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a9a7backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 20c | 94.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 91.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 90.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 86.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 17c | 66.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 18c | 61.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 16c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 22c | 54.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 31c | 44.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…b201backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia | 27c | 42.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Beatriz Haddad Maia | 31c | 34.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Maria Timofeeva | 69c | 32.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Maria Timofeeva | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Maria Timofeeva | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Maria Timofeeva | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…524bbacked Maria Timofeeva | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maria Timofeevathis page
- Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Maia (+1.5)Timofeeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.