Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cce785dfaf310cfdbfca3d4d02a455d3a6d720f21a9f6eb4a547c83a3ba11c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437f…5b95backed Yes | 32c | 1,248$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.13 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 75c | 843.69$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed No | 16c | 704.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…7908backed Yes | 72c | 669.03$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 228 | 57.5%131 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed No | 2c | 649$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked No | 10c | 573.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 25c | 559.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…8a18backed Yes | 48c | 526.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 3c | 522.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 25c | 439.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 26c | 419.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 409$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.41 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 79c | 403.96$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 75c | 372.61$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 358.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 301.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 80c | 255$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 77c | 252.57$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 24c | 249$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 74c | 247.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 59c | 223.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 79c | 212.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Yes | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 230 | 30.9%71 W · 159 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 34c | 199.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…a4ccbacked Yes | 60c | 187.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 52c | 182.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…0426backed Yes | 68c | 171.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 31c | 171.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 167.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 164.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 164$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 62c | 161.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 34c | 161.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 73c | 155.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 140.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 137.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 133.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 58c | 132.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…bf8fbacked Yes | 78c | 124.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 44c | 122.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Yes | 78c | 122.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 44c | 122$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 71c | 111.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 57c | 105.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 63c | 102.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 46c | 99.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 41c | 98.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 72c | 97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 26c | 94.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 46c | 92.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 67c | 91.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…55a0backed Yes | 58c | 86.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Yes | 57c | 85.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd12…7f29backed Yes | 30c | 83.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 154 | 37.7%58 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 80c | 81.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 63c | 78.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…5e72backed No | 42c | 75.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Yes | 70c | 74.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 26c | 73.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 79c | 62.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…c41fbacked Yes | 34c | 59.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Yes | 29c | 58.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 53.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 44c | 52.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 47c | 52.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 56c | 51.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked No | 22c | 50.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 38c | 50.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 73c | 50.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b5…bd3fbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 41c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 40c | 49.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 63c | 46.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 46c | 46.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 44c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 62c | 44.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 75c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.