TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bejlekof Keys, Bejlek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa77…15a5backed Keys65c8,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9234457.6%198 W · 146 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b43…0f61backed Keys58c3,588$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Keys46c3,465$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.881,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bejlek52c2,668$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.332,39950.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L+76.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Bejlek55c2,497$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.8130740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Keys40c2,301$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.882,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Bejlek31c2,238$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.938754%47 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bejlek53c2,186$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.822,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Bejlek47c2,120$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.561,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a4…1963backed Bejlek60c2,022$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.054057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Keys9c1,754$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.976256.5%35 W · 27 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-20.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Bejlek56c1,466$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.7536557.5%210 W · 155 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Bejlek35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5724052.5%126 W · 114 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Bejlek58c1,376$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.7452661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Bejlek41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5111060.9%67 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Bejlek37c1,182$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.881,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bejlek53c1,104$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.622,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942a…fda2backed Bejlek78c792.65$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Bejlek56c789.29$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.291,11043%477 W · 633 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…ecf5backed Keys62c745.63$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.621752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Keys44c657.82$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2911047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Keys48c625.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Keys20c613.55$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1292237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Keys61c609.06$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.634,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Bejlek54c602.69$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8484349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bejlek66c550.13$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.272,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Bejlek56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22013245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bejlek34c490$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.569,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ce…aceebacked Keys63c469.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bejlek56c342.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.847,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Bejlek57c316.81$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2314555.9%81 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Bejlek57c314.5$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.924755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Bejlek77c309.74$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.247258.3%42 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Bejlek35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7127357.9%158 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Bejlek74c270.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2419657.1%112 W · 84 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Keys74c242.43$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.49067.8%61 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Keys22c235$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75450%27 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Bejlek71c225.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8136342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Bejlek35c219.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3887054.6%475 W · 395 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Bejlek35c218.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.838051.6%196 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Keys46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008655.8%48 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Keys47c208$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Bejlek47c204.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3542747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Bejlek42c204.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7228848.3%139 W · 149 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Keys44c195$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3822337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…5253backed Bejlek44c187.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.141662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Bejlek59c167$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4734047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Bejlek60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6790454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…14ffbacked Bejlek78c150.46$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.14645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Bejlek35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8694149.5%466 W · 475 L+17.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Bejlek35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.869955.6%55 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Keys74c134.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030355.8%169 W · 134 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Bejlek54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6327754.5%151 W · 126 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Keys47c128.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8648151.6%248 W · 233 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Bejlek35c126.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6431848.7%155 W · 163 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Keys48c123$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0480355.4%445 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Bejlek51c117.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9391255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Keys47c113$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.114645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Bejlek48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.246565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Keys73c102$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4633350.2%167 W · 166 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98b…c6f3backed Keys59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911155%61 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Keys41c95.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1844151.9%229 W · 212 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Keys41c91.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5226547.9%127 W · 138 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Keys22c85.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691,37716.3%224 W · 1,153 L-109.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Bejlek35c79.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6329148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Bejlek35c76.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5293055.9%520 W · 410 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Bejlek54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.074052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Keys71c69.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.31,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Bejlek61c66.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0913449.3%66 W · 68 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc667…b6c0backed Bejlek42c64.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked Bejlek78c63.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Bejlek56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.517646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Bejlek31c51.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.713,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Bejlek54c49.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.622,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Bejlek35c45.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7191354.9%501 W · 412 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Bejlek35c45.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7147956.8%272 W · 207 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Keys48c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6458253.3%310 W · 272 L-2.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Keys48c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Bejlek54c26.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.233,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Bejlek42c23.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8569947.8%334 W · 365 L-3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Keys44c23.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.222,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Keys49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142345.9%194 W · 229 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Bejlek77c21.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.984254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fc…973cbacked Bejlek53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.