Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc282ff29e4f4155571256ea1271be3b1331fa5f420cbd391ef3fa07bafcf8622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Rublev, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Rublev | 40c | 500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Rublev | 43c | 469.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 58c | 453$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Rublev | 38c | 390.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Borges | 61c | 371.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…afc1backed Borges | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Borges | 62c | 319.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Rublev | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rublev | 37c | 295.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Borges | 60c | 292.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rublev | 38c | 283.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Borges | 60c | 243.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Borges | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Rublev | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Borges | 62c | 121.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Rublev | 37c | 102.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rublev | 37c | 96.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Rublev | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Borges | 63c | 63.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Rublev | 37c | 55.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Borges | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rublev | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Borges | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Rublev | 40c | 43.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…84a9backed Borges | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rublev | 41c | 31.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…60a2backed Borges | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Rublev | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Rublev | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 62c | 28.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Andrey Rublev vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesNuno Borges won
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesYes won
- Rublev vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs BorgesBorges won
- Set 2 Winner: Rublev vs BorgesBorges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.