WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd75466ec4a0f82412f949ceae4bc98e8b968b5aa8cef095e5a011a21cc0505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 2,931$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.62 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 49c | 665.8$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.53 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 621$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 44c | 599.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 527.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 48c | 502.46$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 472.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.84 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 390.54$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 378.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 371.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 54c | 345.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 308.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 294.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 245.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Over | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 52c | 179.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 45c | 170.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 168.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 50c | 166.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 43c | 158$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 139.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 52c | 137.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 19c | 111.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 103.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 97.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 89.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 86.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 57c | 85.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 46c | 75.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 64c | 72.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 69.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 69.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 59.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 52c | 54.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 44.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 42.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 42.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 41.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 36.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 36.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 48c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 54c | 27.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 26.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 43c | 23.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut SunWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 160.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.