WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f661c82f8aa600873054f594ad5571f7aded7b52f61c10fd3a59ec0053f33f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 53c | 4,508$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 4,029$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 46c | 1,509$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.95 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 1,464$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.98 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.56 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…5783backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 1,027$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.63 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 48c | 838.35$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.94 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 712.24$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…814dbacked Over | 48c | 507.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 407.01$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 319.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 47c | 318.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 249.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 53c | 239.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 183.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 60c | 181.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 172.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 54c | 162.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 158.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 54c | 128.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 115.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 56c | 103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 50c | 79.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 78.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 78.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 73.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 42c | 63.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 51c | 58.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over | 43c | 51.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 48c | 50.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 53c | 49.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 47c | 43.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 36.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 54c | 35.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 34.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 33.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 32.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 24.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 54c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 22.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut SunWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 160.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.