WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07eaea371e8e21c74f6520505ade7199c8136642cbddb6765fa01b1b7644f6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,536$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.61 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 55c | 1,000$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 943.4$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.72 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 943.4$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 536.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 499.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 420.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 193.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 165.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 118.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Under | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 55c | 47.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 34.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 27.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut SunWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 160.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.