WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f5a69e640e93c14e26833e0459fc949a8f51b81db955a8fc01d800726908b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 3,630$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 55c | 3,478$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.06 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 3,011$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.12 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 1,726$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.11 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…01b4backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,253$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.52 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 851.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.65 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 517.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 390.83$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 352$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 329.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 245.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 78.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Washington Mystics | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 67.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 60.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 41.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Mystics | 40c | 39.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut SunWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 160.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.