Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Mert Alkaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc280c948b4a4823df90373fbdac700f114557fd72b69e93ebdbd967f27204fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Nedicof Andrej Nedic, Mert Alkaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mert Alkaya | 11c | 5,426$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mert Alkaya | 4c | 1,301$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mert Alkaya | 15c | 948.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mert Alkaya | 34c | 930.01$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mert Alkaya | 11c | 768.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Mert Alkaya | 7c | 548.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Mert Alkaya | 35c | 536.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mert Alkaya | 25c | 507.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mert Alkaya | 22c | 473.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Mert Alkaya | 26c | 431.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 311$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Andrej Nedic | 65c | 308$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Mert Alkaya | 7c | 302.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mert Alkaya | 34c | 283.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mert Alkaya | 39c | 282.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Mert Alkaya | 15c | 267.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mert Alkaya | 26c | 200.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mert Alkaya | 15c | 189.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mert Alkaya | 16c | 168.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Mert Alkaya | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Mert Alkaya | 35c | 160.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 151.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Mert Alkaya | 22c | 106.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mert Alkaya | 45c | 104.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Mert Alkaya | 38c | 104.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…adb8backed Mert Alkaya | 35c | 102.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andrej Nedic | 55c | 102.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 101.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mert Alkaya | 17c | 89.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Andrej Nedic | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Mert Alkaya | 35c | 83.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…5607backed Mert Alkaya | 14c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Mert Alkaya | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Andrej Nedic | 79c | 75.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mert Alkaya | 35c | 68.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Andrej Nedic | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mert Alkaya | 38c | 58.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mert Alkaya | 25c | 55.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mert Alkaya | 35c | 50.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mert Alkaya | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Andrej Nedic | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Mert Alkaya | 28c | 46.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Andrej Nedic | 65c | 46.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Andrej Nedic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…9f78backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mert Alkaya | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…22e9backed Andrej Nedic | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…7619backed Andrej Nedic | 56c | 35.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Mert Alkaya | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…d57bbacked Mert Alkaya | 35c | 30.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2c73backed Andrej Nedic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Andrej Nedic | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mert Alkaya | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Andrej Nedic | 65c | 25.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Andrej Nedic | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Andrej Nedic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.