Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Alastair Gray
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea63e39d993db932ac35b6c6be36c3d3b09e3b4102938e52ef70a686252ae0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alastair Grayof Dominik Palan, Alastair Gray
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Dominik Palan | 19c | 5,491$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.41 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Dominik Palan | 20c | 2,618$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dominik Palan | 14c | 2,207$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Dominik Palan | 6c | 1,761$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Dominik Palan | 21c | 1,262$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.56 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dominik Palan | 19c | 1,153$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Dominik Palan | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Dominik Palan | 18c | 987.38$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Dominik Palan | 15c | 811.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Dominik Palan | 16c | 810.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dominik Palan | 11c | 741.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…ff9fbacked Dominik Palan | 7c | 495.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dominik Palan | 16c | 485.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Dominik Palan | 21c | 404.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dominik Palan | 18c | 398.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Dominik Palan | 12c | 362$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alastair Gray | 79c | 343$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Dominik Palan | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Dominik Palan | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alastair Gray | 79c | 205$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dominik Palan | 7c | 198.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Dominik Palan | 13c | 158.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…fcadbacked Dominik Palan | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Dominik Palan | 18c | 111.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Alastair Gray | 80c | 105.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Dominik Palan | 12c | 105.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alastair Gray | 80c | 100.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Dominik Palan | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alastair Gray | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Alastair Gray | 78c | 64.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Dominik Palan | 17c | 62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Alastair Gray | 77c | 49.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alastair Gray | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Alastair Gray | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.