Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweeny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c09a05b44a4b48ed98088a106a74c73ea208097c3a19111a9f84add77b3115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Sweeny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Sweeny | 5c | 44,104$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.57 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sweeny | 9c | 10,387$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.8 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sweeny | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sweeny | 8c | 6,489$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sweeny | 9c | 6,281$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.3 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sweeny | 1c | 4,565$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sweeny | 9c | 4,539$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.66 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sweeny | 7c | 2,980$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sweeny | 9c | 2,687$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sweeny | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sweeny | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Sweeny | 8c | 1,285$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Sweeny | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sweeny | 9c | 1,220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Sweeny | 9c | 1,084$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sweeny | 7c | 899.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sweeny | 9c | 614.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Sweeny | 6c | 599.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sweeny | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sweeny | 7c | 441.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sweeny | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Sweeny | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Sweeny | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Sweeny | 8c | 222.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sweeny | 9c | 206.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sweeny | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…d4b0backed Sweeny | 11c | 198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Sweeny | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sweeny | 9c | 114.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Sweeny | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sweeny | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweenythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs SweenyShelton won
- Shelton vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Sweeny: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.