Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09be06172275e0170ab5fda679ba5bcdace5edf4a95d90ccc5b72c4a01a4ab4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 1c | 28,630$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 14c | 7,274$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.92 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 17c | 7,057$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.75 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 6,094$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 24c | 5,267$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.6 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 11c | 2,798$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 17c | 1,248$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 76c | 1,100$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Yes | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 16c | 1,001$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 17c | 781$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.36 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 16c | 780.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 16c | 544.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed No | 6c | 499$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +4,221.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked No | 13c | 454.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 16c | 423.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed No | 17c | 388.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 18c | 215.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 16c | 194.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 18c | 165.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 16c | 150.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 17c | 113.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 12c | 111.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 79c | 102.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 16c | 101.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 79c | 100.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 23c | 98.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 14c | 97.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 15c | 91.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 13c | 80.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 16c | 79.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 74c | 73.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 80c | 70.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 16c | 67.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…28eebacked No | 20c | 63.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…2651backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 76c | 46.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…a1adbacked No | 28c | 38.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 79c | 36.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 79c | 35.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…3534backed Yes | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 73c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.