TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8488…588cbacked Yes38c18,942$7,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,115.38321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No66c14,606$9,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.447950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes36c8,399$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.133925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes21c7,068$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No62c6,054$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.510846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c3,947$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.391,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c3,835$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.492,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb5…11babacked Yes7c2,991$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c2,684$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.31,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes38c2,580$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.373831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes37c2,576$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.015660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No63c2,171$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.9342250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No73c2,043$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.5314570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes37c1,768$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.216735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c1,737$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.881,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No65c1,469$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.982875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No64c1,400$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50423057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No64c1,387$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3214540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes37c1,345$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c1,304$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.163,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No64c1,258$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4567959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,201$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.491,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c1,057$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.31,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes8c883.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c780.28$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.931,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No64c731.93$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No59c666.15$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.1227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes29c663.45$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8519630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No79c595.96$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.038740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No59c593.2$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes36c543.52$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8421844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0504…3799backed Yes37c530.62$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c490.94$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.491,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd089…ea0dbacked Yes38c489.71$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes23c470.27$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes33c455$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1513049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No63c416.82$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.221764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No63c402.41$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.891764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes40c378$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c355.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.622,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c335$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes20c331.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No65c326.94$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.439752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked No64c309.55$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No65c304.5$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.412958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes38c271.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46c…1618backed Yes37c271$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.27837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes12c251.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c250$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.081,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes11c236.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c212.65$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.818631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No64c205$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.930754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes18c204.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes26c198.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c180$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Yes34c177.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes37c168.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.211637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes35c164.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c158.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.852,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No65c152.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.727763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes38c146.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.673250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4395…8fd0backed Yes38c144.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.87128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-85.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c143.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.193,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes7c139.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505251.9%27 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Yes10c138.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.862965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501586.7%13 W · 2 L+6.6wins+0.44per pick43cpaid+138.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes12c130.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes15c126.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.918137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac91…5d29backed Yes12c126.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c122.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No63c119.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Yes38c115.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444740.4%19 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes36c108.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2814254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c106.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.521,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb6…f7b3backed Yes37c106.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.381070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No64c101.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9325955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes33c100.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.313850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…dba4backed Yes37c100.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbf…9318backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes51c99.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes29c99.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5925044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes35c86.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf404…0422backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.