TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No30c6,667$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.955,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes39c2,804$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.523,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No1c2,084$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.812755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c1,700$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.88,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No61c1,515$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.246864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes33c1,513$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes17c777.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.186827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No21c713.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.943828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c712.5$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c679.73$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.423,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes31c645.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1619963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No68c642.96$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes12c597.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.7419630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No63c543.46$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.611,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No8c499.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7620138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5512331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes39c386.12$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8521765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No75c290.68$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes35c289.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1721640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes8c257.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.058740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes24c246.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No62c241.85$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9214570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes33c241$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c207.21$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.121,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No67c186$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.622,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes33c171.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.853636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked No19c165.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.211526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes79c157.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7610249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa867…71abbacked Yes28c140.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Yes72c131$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.225464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c131$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.082,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No67c120$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.426749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c116$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.721,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Yes32c115.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.593652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes41c111.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.871,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cb…1499backed Yes18c105.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No67c99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3312958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No58c98.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4341145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No67c90$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.641654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes33c86.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.743571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No68c82.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.821844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No16c79.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No69c78.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9611156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No22c68.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.172025%5 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed No15c68.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c68.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No27c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.066315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes66c65.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5450643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes68c64.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No67c63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes34c61.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.382642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes22c59.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.091866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.711,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No68c58.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405671.4%40 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.824553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f7…d7debacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes32c54.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7267548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No70c50.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.961,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.56944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No67c47.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5138861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.884032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes26c44.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c42.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.771,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.214540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No69c36.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2415247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked No41c36.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.832626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No65c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.688252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a0…f156backed No72c34.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No67c33.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Yes55c32.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.255435.2%19 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No78c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2825866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes58c24.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No67c24.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6118557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No67c23.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6342462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No52c23.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.981,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No69c20.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.229047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No68c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2416960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.7327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.