Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6c90f1b85da2e204754a14f38674ff068d14e3531bd6544c99c4545aea1dcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Ivory, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Ivory | 9c | 10,000$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,138.16 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Ivory | 7c | 6,759$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.88 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Ivory | 8c | 3,336$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.01 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…300fbacked Ivory | 36c | 3,166$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 2,670$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.06 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Ivory | 42c | 1,789$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.54 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Ivory | 14c | 1,326$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.44 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 73c | 1,230$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…9fd2backed Ivory | 41c | 724.16$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 499.97$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 403.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Ivory | 40c | 370.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Ivory | 33c | 370.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.45 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…83b4backed Ivory | 35c | 286.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Yangon Galacticos | 61c | 263.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Ivory | 41c | 225.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yangon Galacticos | 70c | 213.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Yangon Galacticos | 52c | 211.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yangon Galacticos | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yangon Galacticos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yangon Galacticos | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…8fd2backed Ivory | 26c | 175.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ivory | 21c | 153.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yangon Galacticos | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 79c | 132.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Ivory | 41c | 122.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ivory | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Ivory | 72c | 109.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Ivory | 24c | 108.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed Yangon Galacticos | 26c | 107.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Yangon Galacticos | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Ivory | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 92.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…dd3ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 29c | 89.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivory | 26c | 82.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Ivory | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Ivory | 33c | 76.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Ivory | 50c | 67.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…10dcbacked Ivory | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c9…7f71backed Ivory | 73c | 61.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Ivory | 42c | 53.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Ivory | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Ivory | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Ivory | 79c | 35.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Yangon Galacticos | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ivory | 35c | 28.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…e4d6backed Yangon Galacticos | 72c | 27.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yangon Galacticos | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yangon Galacticos | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yangon Galacticos | 70c | 20.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Ivory vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.