Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knights

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95c28cc0c2940b876415efc83b774f147cdd74d9bdabe7d39207aa26ce2c806

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Army Black Knightsof Binghamton Bearcats, Army Black Knights
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,197 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Binghamton Bearcats	18c	9,094$1,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Binghamton Bearcats	12c	6,866$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.27	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Binghamton Bearcats	19c	5,766$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.02	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Binghamton Bearcats	5c	3,650$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.5	241	21.2%51 W · 190 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+299%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Binghamton Bearcats	10c	3,620$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.16	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Army Black Knights	78c	2,520$1,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.58	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Binghamton Bearcats	16c	1,912$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.53	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Binghamton Bearcats	14c	1,581$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.65	529	28.4%150 W · 379 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Binghamton Bearcats	10c	1,549$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.67	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Binghamton Bearcats	15c	1,191$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.57	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Binghamton Bearcats	13c	1,172$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Binghamton Bearcats	14c	1,114$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Binghamton Bearcats	19c	1,000$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.71	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Binghamton Bearcats	14c	929.08$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.49	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Binghamton Bearcats	16c	868$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.51	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Binghamton Bearcats	13c	798.34$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.05	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Binghamton Bearcats	14c	585.71$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	161	35.4%57 W · 104 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Binghamton Bearcats	14c	555.21$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.68	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Binghamton Bearcats	22c	500$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Binghamton Bearcats	9c	381.36$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	136	3.7%5 W · 131 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2eb…e530backed Binghamton Bearcats	14c	368.39$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Binghamton Bearcats	16c	345$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.1	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Binghamton Bearcats	32c	314.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	126	42.1%53 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Binghamton Bearcats	13c	310$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Binghamton Bearcats	30c	306.16$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.67	218	30.7%67 W · 151 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Army Black Knights	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Army Black Knights	78c	256.15$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.15	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-14.7wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Binghamton Bearcats	22c	254.51$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.15	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Binghamton Bearcats	14c	253.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.53	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed Binghamton Bearcats	26c	235.19$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…8d54backed Binghamton Bearcats	17c	232.22$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.56	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Binghamton Bearcats	5c	208.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	399	3.3%13 W · 386 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8054…150cbacked Binghamton Bearcats	6c	204.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Binghamton Bearcats	15c	204.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	215	35.3%76 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Binghamton Bearcats	10c	195.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	100	37%37 W · 63 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Army Black Knights	71c	192.67$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.69	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdb…6560backed Binghamton Bearcats	27c	186.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Binghamton Bearcats	24c	150.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	480	51%245 W · 235 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Binghamton Bearcats	34c	145.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x776a…fe4dbacked Binghamton Bearcats	11c	118.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Army Black Knights	70c	107.14$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.14	192	37%71 W · 121 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Binghamton Bearcats	14c	101.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Binghamton Bearcats	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Army Black Knights	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	383	43.6%167 W · 216 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Binghamton Bearcats	14c	97.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Binghamton Bearcats	13c	90.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Binghamton Bearcats	23c	89.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	254	38.2%97 W · 157 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Binghamton Bearcats	13c	81.88$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Binghamton Bearcats	16c	71.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	536	35.6%191 W · 345 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Army Black Knights	75c	68$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Binghamton Bearcats	25c	52.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Army Black Knights	75c	51$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Binghamton Bearcats	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	449	55.2%248 W · 201 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x156f…6887backed Army Black Knights	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe556…3157backed Binghamton Bearcats	30c	39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Army Black Knights	78c	37.12$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Army Black Knights	74c	28.78$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Army Black Knights	72c	23.11$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.47	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Army Black Knights	75c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Army Black Knights	74c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.85	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knightsthis page
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 139.5Over won
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 140.5Over won
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 142.5Over won
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 143.5Over won
Spread: Army Black Knights (-10.5)Binghamton Bearcats won
Spread: Army Black Knights (-11.5)Binghamton Bearcats won
Spread: Army Black Knights (-6.5)Army Black Knights won
Spread: Army Black Knights (-7.5)Army Black Knights won
Spread: Army Black Knights (-8.5)Army Black Knights won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Binghamton Bearcats vs. Army Black Knights

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event