Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2183005f15fe171fc7ae970f23dfae25730bc4794c17a1fbdd35f62272894665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandatoryof Mandatory, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98c7…455cbacked Mandatory | 6c | 830$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 660.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mandatory | 75c | 601.69$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Mandatory | 42c | 318.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mandatory | 45c | 149.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…a315backed Esprit Shōnen | 66c | 122.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6abbbacked Mandatory | 78c | 66.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…5e90backed Esprit Shōnen | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Esprit Shōnen | 52c | 27.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.